Latest posts.
Essays and analysis without the noise. Markets, economics, and what's actually beneath the headlines.
Another bump on the tariff rollercoaster
22 Feb 2026The US Supreme court may have struck down Trump's tariffs, but don't expect them to go away.
The RBA keeps making the same mistake
10 Feb 2026From running too tight to cutting too early, the Reserve Bank of Australia keeps making the same monetary mistake.
Japan's risky bet
8 Feb 2026Japan's ruling party won a supermajority promising massive stimulus and tax cuts, but the yen's slide to near all-time lows suggests markets are sceptical the debt math works.
Weak productivity doesn't cause inflation
4 Feb 2026Monetary policy, not productivity, determines inflation.
The RBA's false dawn
3 Feb 2026The precious metals crash
1 Feb 2026Gold had its worst day since 1983. Silver fell 30%. Every outlet blamed Trump's Fed pick. But the data tell a different story.
Canada's new path
28 Jan 2026Mark Carney's Davos speech signalled a new path for Canada. Trump's response is vindicating it.
Australia's inflation problem is back
26 Jan 2026Or did it never go away?
Sell America?
21 Jan 2026Easier said than done.
China's slowing down
19 Jan 2026China's real GDP grew 4.5% in Q4, its slowest pace in three years. But the details are worse than the headline.