Latest posts.
Essays and analysis without the noise. Markets, economics, and what's actually beneath the headlines.
A new direction
29 June 2026Why proprietary AI is losing its edge, local policy has hit a wall, and where this newsletter is heading next.
The next reform victim
26 June 2026The Albanese government has found its next target, don't bank on a rate cut in 2026, and no matter how bad it gets there's always the UK.
Labor's poison pill
24 June 2026The Greens got their concessions, Labor got its tax hike, and the rest of Australia got a revenue grab dressed as neutral reform.
Caveat emptor
18 June 2026Pauline's big day, Hormuz is open (or is it?), and the biggest meme stock of all-time.
A nation divided
12 June 2026The rise of One Nation, Oil and the Strait of Hormuz, and the SpaceX IPO.
Treasury's imaginary gift
10 June 2026Indexing for inflation isn't a concession, and deferring tax until you sell isn't a loan.
Is Australia a high-taxing nation?
8 June 2026No, but tax-to-GDP is a highly misleading measure of the true tax burden.
When is a recession a recession?
5 June 2026Canada's technical recession, Australia's non-technical recession, and the worst public policy error in recent history.
Killing with kindness
3 June 2026The minimum wage increases that are a boon for some may eventually lead to lost jobs for others.
There will be no AI jobpocalypse
1 June 2026The economy's built-in roadblocks are bad news for anyone expecting an AI productivity miracle or an employment bloodbath.